questions to ask a lady you want to date

Main article: Monty Hall problem Savant was asked the following question in her September 9,column: [18] Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given the choice of three doors. Behind one door is a car, behind the others, goats. You pick a door, say 1, and the host, who knows what's behind http://lifescienceglobal.com/social/ny-online-dating/list-of-all-hookup-sites.php doors, opens another door, say 3, which has a goat.

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He says to you, "Do you want to pick door 2? This question is called the Monty Hall problem due to its resembling scenarios on the game show Let's Make a Deal ; its answer existed before it was used in "Ask Marilyn". These probabilities assume you change your choice each time door 3 is opened, and that the host always opens a door with a goat. This response provoked letters from thousands of readers, nearly all arguing doors 1 and 2 each have an equal chance of success. A follow-up column reaffirming her position served only to intensify the debate and soon became a continue reading article on the front page of The New York Times.

Parade received around 10, letters from readers who thought that her workings were incorrect. In the standard version, Savant's answer is correct. However, the statement of the problem as posed in her column is ambiguous. If the host operates under a strategy of only offering a switch if the initial guess is correct, it would clearly be disadvantageous to accept the offer.

If the host merely selects a door at random, the question is likewise very different from the standard version. Savant addressed these issues by writing the following in Parade magazine, "the original answer defines certain conditions, the most significant of which is that the host always opens a losing door on purpose.

Anything else is a different question. In her final column on the problem, she gave the results of more than 1, school experiments.

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Most respondents now agree with her original solution, with half of the published letters declaring their authors had changed their minds. You tell her that you want only a male, and she telephones the fellow who's giving them a bath. What is the probability http://lifescienceglobal.com/social/29-dating-23/premiumpress-dating-theme.php the other one is a male? When Savant replied "one out of three", readers [24] wrote the odds were 50— In a follow-up, she defended her answer, saying that "If we could shake a pair of puppies out of a cup the way we do dice, there are four ways they could land", in three of which at least one is male, but in only one of which none are male.

The confusion arises here because the bather is not asked if the puppy he is holding is a male, but rather if either is a male. This independence is restricted when at least A or B is male.]

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