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Analysis of Recurrent Events with Associated Informative Censoring: Application to HIV Data Pages 20-27

Jonathan Ejoku, Collins Odhiambo and Linda Chaba

https://doi.org/10.6000/1929-6029.2020.09.03

Published: 29 March 2020


Abstract: In this study, we adapt a Cox-based model for recurrent events; the Prentice, Williams and Peterson Total -Time (PWP-TT) that has largely, been used under the assumption of non-informative censoring and evaluate it under an informative censoring setting. Empirical evaluation was undertaken with the aid of the semi-parametric framework for recurrent events suggested by Huang [1] and implemented in R Studio software. For validation we used data from a typical HIV care setting in Kenya. Of the three models under consideration; the standard Cox Model had gender hazard ratio (HR) of 0.66 (p-value=0.165), Andersen-Gill had HR 0.46 (with borderline p-value=0.054) and extended PWP TT had HR 0.22 (p-value=0.006). The PWP-TT model performed better as compared to other models under informative setting. In terms of risk factors under informative setting, LTFU due to stigma; gender [base=Male] had HR 0.544 (p-value =0.002), age [base is < 37] had HR 0.772 (p-value=0.008), ART regimen [base= First line] had HR 0.518 (p-value= 0.233) and differentiated care model (Base=not on DCM) had HR 0.77(p-value=0.036). In conclusion, in spite of the multiple interventions designed to address incidences of LTFU among HIV patients, within-person cases of LTFU are usually common and recurrent in nature, with the present likelihood of a person getting LTFU influenced by previous occurrences and therefore informative censoring should be checked.

Keywords: Recurrent events, Loss to follow-up, HIV, Prentice, Williams and Peterson Gap-Time, Informative censoring.

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Survival Curves Projection and Benefit Time Points Estimation using a New Statistical Method Pages 28-40

Toni Monleón-Getino

https://doi.org/10.6000/1929-6029.2020.09.04

Published: 9 May 2020


Abstract: Survival analysis concerns the analysis of time-to-event data and it is essential to study in fields such as oncology, the survival function, S(t), calculation is usually used, but in the presence of competing risks (presence of competing events), is necessary introduce other statistical concepts and methods, as is the Cumulative incidence function CI(t). This is defined as the proportion of subjects with an event time less than or equal to. The present study describe a methodology that enables to obtain numerically a shape of CI(t) curves and estimate the benefit time points (BTP) as the time (t) when a 90, 95 or 99% is reached for the maximum value of CI(t). Once you get the numerical function of CI(t), it can be projected for an infinite time, with all the limitations that it entails. To do this task the R function Weibull.cumulative.incidence() is proposed. In a first step these function transforms the survival function (S(t)) obtained using the Kaplan–Meier method to CI(t). In a second step the best fit function of CI(t) is calculated in order to estimate BTP using two procedures, 1) Parametric function: estimates a Weibull growth curve of 4 parameters by means a non-linear regression (nls) procedure or 2) Non parametric method: using Local Polynomial Regression (LPR) or LOESS fitting. Two examples are presented and developed using Weibull.cumulative.incidence() function in order to present the method. The methodology presented will be useful for performing better tracking of the evolution of the diseases (especially in the case of the presence of competitive risks), project time to infinity and it is possible that this methodology can help identify the causes of current trends in diseases like cancer. We think that BTP points can be important in large diseases like cardiac illness or cancer to seek the inflection point of the disease, treatment associate or speculate how is the course of the disease and change the treatments at those points. These points can be important to take medical decisions furthermore.

Keywords: Survival function, projection, Weibull growth curve, non linear regression.

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Inference Procedures on the Ratio of Modified Generalized Poisson Distribution Means: Applications to RNA_SEQ Data Pages 41-49

M.M. Shoukri and Maha Al-Eid

https://doi.org/10.6000/1929-6029.2020.09.05

Published: 4 June 2020


Abstract: The Poisson and the Negative Binomial distributions are commonly used as analytic tools to model count data. The Poisson is characterized by the equality of mean and variance whereas the Negative Binomial has a variance larger than the mean and therefore is appropriate to model over-dispersed count data. The Generalized Poisson Distribution is becoming a popular alternative to the Negative Binomial. We have considered inference procedures on a modified form of this distribution when two samples are available from two independent populations and the target effect size of interest is the ratio of the two population means. The statistical objective is to construct confidence limits on the ratio. We first test the presence of over dispersion and derive several estimators in the single sample situation. When two samples are available, our interest is focused on the estimation of an effect size measured by the ratio of the respective population means. We have compared two methods; namely the Fieller’s and the delta methods in terms of coverage probabilities. We have illustrated the methodologies on published genomic datasets.

Keywords: Overdispersion, Parameter orthogonality, Fieller’s theorem, Mixed estimator, Delta method, Coverage probabilities.

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The Effect of the Health Personnel Exposed to the Attack of Patients and Relatives on the Perception of Aggression  Pages 50-58

Mahmut Kilic

https://doi.org/10.6000/1929-6029.2020.09.06

Published: 26 October 2020


Abstract: Purpose: The aim of the study is to evaluate the effect of health personnel's exposure to the violence of patients and relatives on the perception of aggression.

Materials and Methods: This cross-sectional study was conducted in 2015 among health personnel who are in contact with patients and their relatives working in health institutions in Yozgat city center. The study was completed with 358 people who agreed to participate in the study with verbal consent. The data were collected through the Perception of Aggression Scale (POAS), the socio-demographic form and a form that evaluates the health personnel being attacked. In the analysis of the data, univariate tests and multivariate regression analyzes were used.

Results: Of the health personnel, 81.6% of them stated that they were exposed to the violence of the patients and their relatives during their professional career and 37.7% during the last 12 months. In the regression analysis, the perception of functional aggression was higher in those working in university hospitals, and lower in physicians (p <0.05). Dysfunctional aggression perception was lower in medical secretaries, family health center staff, and university hospital staff (p <0.05). No significant relationship was found between the perception of aggression and age, gender, education level, professional experience (years), and their exposure to attack during the past 12 months (p> 0.05).

Conclusion: Health personnel are of the opinion that the aggressive behavior of the patients does not correspond to the situation they are in and there is no acceptable excuse for such behaviors.

Keywords: Health Personnel, Exposure to Violence, Aggression, Perception.

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